Predictions based on analytical studies of actual facts.
In the year 2011
Oil price will hit new levels over $100, however inflation will ease up.
Gold Price will decline, and USA dollar will shape up.
Start of Global recovery , and the world will snap back from the worst downturn since the Great Depression
Political reforms in many African countries will start as result of Elections and Presidential contests.
Ddiplomatic efforts will succeed in normalizing the high tension on the Korean peninsula.
A new deal between Russia and NATO including USA will be a strategic key to joint international actions against weapons of mass destruction, terrorism, drugs, sea piracy and other regional and global challenges.
China will start major radical political, economic and leadership changes.
India will start a step to liberalize the retail sector and allows some international chains to open across the country.
Political conflict will come to an end in Thailand and the general elections will pass calmly and its results will be compromising to political parties.
Foreign troops in Afghanistan will start to pull out of the country and Turkey will help President Karzai to reach a political deal with Taliban
The parties in Sudan with help from the international community will start a realistic dialogue to deal with post-referendum aspects, and lay down arms after realizing they cannot achieve results through fighting.
A new political chapter in Lebanon will open after the international tribunal is released about Hariri assassination. The parties in dispute will reach a historic agreement under a regional umbrella from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iran and Syria. Israel will pull out from All Lebanese occupied lands and Hezbollah will agree on a transition plan scenario with the Lebanese Army.
AL Qaeda activities in Iraq will diminish and most of its members will put down their weapons.
More countries to recognize a Palestinian State and a major peace agreement will be reached between Palestinian parties under the umbrella of Egypt, Syria, Iran, Turkey and with USA blessings.
A major breakthrough in the relationship between Iran and USA will happen based on a new understanding of Iran nuclear policy. This new phase between America and Iran will stabilize the Middle East region and limit aggression activities.
Happy New Year
Sami Cherkaoui
http://samicherkaouiarabicblog.blogspot.com
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