Perhaps what is going on now days in the Middle
East region is a bold attempt to divide it into multiple administrations and Geo-political entities.
This exactly what happened after the first
world wars, however the methods are absolutely different and so are the
international agreements and disagreements, albeit the goal is the same, and
that is dividing the territory into many squares, each administered by a different
administration and intention, but all of them unite on the idea of division.
With a quick view on how the "World"
dealt with the Region before, we can clearly see how they are re-writing the
history of this "sensitive" region.
After the fall of the Ottoman Empire, a New
Middle East was born, but with tremendous struggles in the region between the
creators and also amongst the inhabitants themselves.
The United Nations which was newly established
after WWI, and was called at that time The League of Nations, granted France and Britain the authority to each control, administer
and manage territorial lands in the region. In that sense France controlled Syria and
Lebanon. Iraq, Jordan and Palestine were given to Britain.
As soon both countries assumed their management
and control, a hidden intelligence war erupted between them, and a sharp
rejection to military occupation rapidly rose.
However that rejection was rapidly turned to vast religious
wars between Christians and Muslims of the same people.
This is exactly what is happening today,
despite all sorts of disguising this matter. What differs today that the
internal conflict between the same people is not only between the Christians
and Muslims, but also between the different Muslim Sects and the different
Christians sects... each of them against each other,
In the past, when the people were engaged with
their religious and political fighting, and all the chaos that was spread all
over the lands, the League of Nations were able to eliminate a whole country
called Palestine at that time and replaced it with a new country called Israel.
The Occupiers (France and Britain) rushed to
"give" the occupied countries their "Independence" to absorb
the wrath of people, and control their responds and reactions on such devastating action. Also to create a calm situation around the new-born state,
It is true that the Occupiers left the Arab
states, however they left behind a chain of regimes that worked under their
control and supervision.
The Regimes that ruled the states worked to lengthen
their ruling era more than they worked on development and prosperity of their
countries.
This poor administration of the New Rulers gave
lucrative nature to the Intelligence wars between the late Occupiers which was
never calmed, but to the contrary spread and erupted more than ever.
The region began to see series of "military coups" and more rulers toppled and new rulers came to rule,,, till the people of Egypt revolt against their King "Farouk" in 1952 and a new Era began with President Nasser who completed the revolution task and took back Suez Canal from the French and the British.
The region began to see series of "military coups" and more rulers toppled and new rulers came to rule,,, till the people of Egypt revolt against their King "Farouk" in 1952 and a new Era began with President Nasser who completed the revolution task and took back Suez Canal from the French and the British.
This action put Israel in Jeopardy. So the
three states (France, Britain and Israel) declared war against Egypt in 1956,
but was not supported as it should, by the United States. USA at that time had a different Agenda, and was emerging as a new rich and strong power, and wanted to befriend the Arab Gulf rulers when oil discoveries in their lands were announced. USA also was the sole creditor of the three states
together, after being almost bankrupted after WW2.
Egypt won the war and resumed control on Suez
Canal and its revenues.
Later in 1967 USA supported Israel to win
territories in Egypt, Jordan and Syria. Israel took Jerusalem and made it the
Capital of Israel. Also took Golan Heights in Syria, and most of Bilad Al Sham was under its surveillance.
It also took Sina and secured its South front.
However, it failed to secure passage to its trade through Suez Canal.
However, it failed to secure passage to its trade through Suez Canal.
In 1973 President Sadat gave Israel that
passage and more, with a historic Peace Pact between Egypt and Israel.
USSR was not happy in leaving Egypt to USA, so
immediately Syria (which was depending on USSR military and economic support)
with a push from USSR, refused this Peace Pact and aided the Palestinian Jihad against Israel. Lebanon became an open battle field due to PLO military strong existence in the country, which was
supported by President Assad of Syria.
Later and till today, Syria supported Hezbollah
of Iran to control most of Lebanon's political Agenda.
USA worked systematically in the region to
eliminate all dangers that are surrounding Israel. It declared war against
Saddam Husein, because he was no more trusted as a "Peaceful Tyrant"
and failed in a test with Kuwait.
It occupied Afghanistan to control the spread
of "Sunni Extremists" and use this with their political and military
dispute with Iran.
It supported the topple of Bin Ali in Tunis and Qaddafi in Libya by their own people, however it left the people to handle a
bigger struggle with each other.
It permitted the topple of Mubarak in Egypt,
but left Egypt with a new experience that is threatening to make Egypt weaker, and ready to accept any sort of solution for stability.
One of the solutions would not be a surprise if
it is Suez Canal.
What is going on in Syria today, may be
considered as a tough revenge against Assad himself, because he did not completely go
along with USA plans in the region and perhaps tried to take more than what he
was supposed to have.
USA probably does not wish to give Lebanon as a price to Assad after his strong support to Iran and Hezbollah.
USA probably does not wish to give Lebanon as a price to Assad after his strong support to Iran and Hezbollah.
Hezbollah today is a strong card to Iran, and a
wild card to USA.
Assad lost the "privilege" to be that wild card.
Assad lost the "privilege" to be that wild card.
All what is going on today in the Arab
countries is actually a bloody dialogue between Iran and USA, (with Europe
against USA “full success” from behind the scenes).
The problem with USA is that it is repeating
the same political and diplomatic methods every time, in its handling of the
Middle East Issue.
And the problem with Middle East leaders is that
they never learnt those methods and are always trapped and eventually fail.
They are always victims to their immature political experiences. Sadly they
take their people with them when they fall. And the people pay the real price.
Sadly, it does not really matter to USA what
will happen to Egypt and Syria, or how long their agonies take. Because USA, is
almost the only international country, which has a physical existence in the
heart of the Middle East: militarily (in Afghanistan and Israel), Politically (In
Iraq and Israel) and economically (In Arab Gulf States and Israel).
The longest times Syria and Egypt remain in
their agonies, the best it is for Israel. Because both countries are the direct
powers that can give real threats to Israel.
The question of Hezbollah in Lebanon can be
solved and probably all Hezbollah would be dissolved with an understanding
between Iran and USA.
The Panoramic View on the region is getting
clearer, and we can almost see the divided states.
Also we can see a more secured Israel and more
weak Arab States and a more stable Iran.
Except... if Russia is able to be a tougher
player against USA in the region...
So far Russia is playing on the ropes, and is more
an Acrobat than a serious opponent.
Sami Cherkaoui
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